Churchill Downs Incorporated Stock Performance

Churchill Downs Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,823  in Churchill Downs Incorporated on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  13.00  from holding Churchill Downs Incorporated or generate 0.13% return on investment over 90 days. Churchill Downs Incorporated is currently generating 0.0119% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.4132% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Churchill, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.Given the investment horizon of 90 days Churchill Downs is expected to generate 4.61 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.91 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Churchill Downs Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Churchill Downs has a beta of 0.21 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Churchill Downs average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Churchill Downs Incorporated will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Churchill Downs Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.

Predictive Modules for Churchill Downs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Churchill Downs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 96.93 98.34 99.75 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 88.52 113.30 114.71 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 95.58 96.99 98.41 Details

11 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 125.66 138.08 153.27 Details

Churchill Downs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Churchill Downs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Churchill Downs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Churchill Downs Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Churchill Downs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

Churchill Downs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Churchill Downs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Churchill Downs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Churchill Downs Price Density Drivers

Churchill Downs Fundamentals Growth

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Churchill Downs Incorporated. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could Churchill diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Churchill Downs. Projected growth potential of Churchill fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Churchill Downs data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.

Understanding Churchill Downs requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Churchill's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Churchill Downs' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Churchill Downs' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.

It's important to distinguish between Churchill Downs' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Churchill Downs should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Churchill Downs' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.